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Will: All right, hello and welcome again everyone to a special bonus episode of Waiting to Be Signed. I'm here with co-host Trinity as always, and this week we have a special guest, Kaloh, from Twitter, from his newsletter, from Spain. I'll let you introduce yourself. I think you're a big character in the NFT space — maybe you can let us know how you got involved, what brought you to NFTs, fx(hash), Tezos, all the above.
Kaloh: Thanks for the invite and for doing this — I think it's a great podcast, and we need more of this kind of content. I'm known as Kaloh, and I've been writing a newsletter called Kaloh's Newsletter for around eight months now. I'd always wanted to write — I'd written blogs about baseball and stats in the past, but I never stuck with anything as long as this. My background is in technology; I'm a software developer, and I've worked in tech for around eight years doing software development, data science, and product management. I've always been interested in new technologies, and that's how I got into the crypto world, and later into NFTs. Now I'm also a collector, and I've released some of my own NFTs. But the main thing I'm doing now is the newsletter.
Trinity: That's amazing. Obviously eight months ago is way longer than fx(hash) has been around, so when did you actually get into NFTs? Was it an entry point where you saw the space, loved it, and started your newsletter? What's your journey through the space been like?
Kaloh: I discovered crypto a long time ago — 2013, so about seven years ago. I actually wrote an article about how I was mining Bitcoin with some colleagues at the office. But I stopped and didn't come back to crypto for about five years. Then last year, in early 2021, I started reading about Ethereum and all the dApps you could build on top of that blockchain, and I found it much more interesting than just Bitcoin. I started playing around, building small things in my free time.
Then in March, NFTs hit the headlines because of the big sales, and it was hard for me to understand what was going on and to find good sources explaining it — both the broader ecosystem, DeFi, and how NFTs specifically worked. It took me a while to get my head around it. I had some free time and wanted to do something with it, so I said, okay, I'll just start writing along the way. I didn't have a plan for what I'd write about, or whether it would be weekly, daily, or monthly — I just went with the flow, and it started to grow. There wasn't much content around at the time, so it started picking up subscribers, and I discovered Twitter and took it from there, just naturally writing about what I found interesting.
Trinity: Has it always been market-focused? That's really been your focus, at least as it pertains to Tezos. What was your early content about? The market back then was just crazy volatility — nobody knew what was happening.
Kaloh: My first articles were more about artists — writing about NFTs I liked and the art behind them. Then I started collecting PFP projects on Ethereum and wrote about that experience. I collected Pudgy Penguins, which went from nothing to over one ETH each within a week, so I wrote the story of that — from the moment I minted them to when I sold some. That got me digging into the economics, the return on investment, but I also wrote about the community aspect — meeting people online, what it means to be part of a community, projects that have a real goal beyond just making money. That was probably the first two or three months.
Then fx(hash) came around in November, and volume was very high — it very quickly became an important marketplace on Tezos. As I was collecting, I couldn't find information: how are things going, up or down, what was the price last week, am I doing well or not? So I started tracking it for myself. I was writing about what I was doing and learning, and I started posting Twitter threads with market analysis just to inform people what was going on. As I got more confident, I started adding insights — what I thought could happen, what was driving prices. People liked that because, again, it was needed; there weren't many resources doing it. fx(hash) has since evolved and added more statistics — leaderboards and so on — but it's still hard to cover everything, and I think it's best when external sources support that too. It can't just be the platform doing it; you need outside voices covering these things as well.
Will: That's one of the reasons we wanted to have you on — our show is trying to do something similar, not just through our own discussions of market trends and what we observe in Discord, but also looping in artists and recapping the week, because it's so hard to remember what happened two or three weeks ago. It feels like ages. Before we get into it — the focus of this episode is really the market, so let's do the disclaimer we forgot: none of this is financial advice. This is just us talking about fx(hash), the platform we know and love. Please don't trade or make decisions based on anything we say.
Before we get into the market discussion, I wanted to give you a chance to talk about the project you released recently — which, congrats, sold out really quickly and has had quite a bit of secondary activity. I also saw you putting some curated pieces up on OBJKT. Was that your very first NFT creation, or just your first generative piece?
Kaloh: Thanks for the shout-out. I've created NFTs in the past — some of my newsletter editions I minted as NFTs, sort of like you could mint my newsletter. But I feel like the marketplaces aren't really there yet for written content, so I stopped after a while. I also worked on a project called UniBots, where I mostly handled communications and the technical side, like the smart contract, while the art was done by two artists — Multivac from Argentina and Datcel from Mexico. That was more of a PFP, community-driven project.
Then I made Impossible Sneakers, which I released a couple of weeks ago. I was very excited — the whole process was fascinating, putting myself in the shoes of the artist and coding it. I learned a lot, from the initial idea all the way to the final algorithm, and then seeing the reception. I wasn't expecting it to mint out in forty seconds. I made it a small collection on purpose — I didn't want five hundred or a thousand pieces, so it was seventy-five. Creating a generative collection is complicated — you have to account for a lot, run many tests, and look at many iterations to understand what's happening. You can't judge it one output at a time; you lose the feel of how the whole collection looks together. You need to view them in batches, like fifty at a time, trying different outputs. Getting feedback from my readers on Twitter was also great — I tried the build-in-public approach, sharing my progress over time and seeing what people thought, whether they liked it, what ideas they had. That was very rewarding, getting feedback while I was still coding it.
Impossible Sneakers — Kaloh
Will: Very similar to what we've been doing with the podcast — releasing an NFT on fx(hash) once a month as a way to fundraise so the community can support the show if they enjoy it. It was really rewarding — Trinity, you were away when this happened — someone in the gallery section of the Discord posted a picture of their gallery with one of our fractal NFTs in it. I said, "Oh, thanks for supporting the podcast," and they said, "I don't even listen to the podcast, I minted it because I thought it was cool." Which made me think, okay, two and a half months of learning p5 is starting to pay off. Super cool that you went down that same path into creating. I assume you use p5?
Kaloh: Yes, just p5. I feel like you could use other libraries, but I wanted to stick with just p5, and I still want to master it. There's so much more to try and learn, and before adding anything else, I'd like to get better at p5 first.
Trinity: From what I've seen, p5 just goes so deep — it's basically a question of how much math you want to apply to it. I'm assuming with your programming background you were already very familiar with JavaScript, and p5 was more about learning a new way to think about it?
Kaloh: I actually worked a lot with Java early on, which is similar to JavaScript, but I didn't do much frontend work — I was always more in backend roles and data science, where you don't pay much attention to the frontend. At most it's some charts, a presentation to explain what you discovered. I never really worked in UI or UX — I did some raw mockups, but never the creative part. That's something I'm learning now, and I'm really enjoying it.
Will: That'll be the p5 corner of the podcast — first time we've really talked openly about that on the show. Let's transition into fx(hash) markets and trends. It's been an interesting time on the platform — February especially, but really starting with the new year, we've seen a general slowdown in pace. Every week seems to bring fewer new drops from artists, artists taking longer between releases or drifting away from the platform, lower volume across the board — not just on fx(hash), but seemingly globally. There's a lot going on. What's your current take on the state of the market, and where do you think NFTs in general, or fx(hash) specifically, might be headed in the coming weeks or months?
Kaloh: It's very hard to say, because it's still a very new space -- a completely greenfield. I think the best way to predict what could happen is to look at Ethereum, which has been around a bit longer. What I've seen there is that there are trends, ups and downs, cycles. The NFT space, regardless of what kind of art or platform you're on, is driven a lot by hype and news -- certain triggers cause more traffic to flow to one platform or another.
Impossible Sneakers — Kaloh
fx(hash) started out impressively. In less than a month the platform was around, we already had many artists and collectors, and something like 60-70% of projects were minting out. When something grows that fast at the beginning, it's hard to maintain that rhythm -- it's not sustainable for those numbers to keep happening every day. I think we're in a more stable zone now. We need to look at volume, but we also need to look at the numbers in terms of users: how many new artists, how many collectors, how many unique wallets are on the platform. That's growing constantly. Every time I do my analysis, we're up on a weekly basis -- probably 5 to 15% monthly. Those are great numbers. If we keep that rate for a year or two, we'll be in a great spot in terms of users. The volume is a little down compared to the peaks, but averaged out, it's still going up.
A good comparison is Ethereum versus Tezos. I was running some numbers the other day, and Tezos volume is still about 1% of what Ethereum's is right now. Of course, there are some very high-value collections on Ethereum driving that volume -- the Apes, and all these over-10-ETH collections. But imagine if Tezos just grows to become 5% or 10% of Ethereum -- we'd be looking at 10x, 20x of what we have at the moment. And fx(hash), being the only generative art platform with this solid community of artists and collectors, will get noticed even faster -- volume will grow from month to month much quicker. So yes, something to think about. I like to compare things, track key stats monthly -- number of users and number of artists. I think that's what's most important.
Will: I used to focus a lot on the number of wallets or users metric, but now I'm starting to feel like, paradoxically, the number of users goes up while our volume goes down. I wish there were some way to track on-chain activity that measured frequency -- only counting wallets that interacted daily or every other day. Because it's really hard to know how many of those wallets have been inactive for two, three, four, six weeks, but they're still counted. It shows growth, but there's this well-known whale from back in December, Darold, who hasn't been around, and everyone's like, "Where's Darryl?" But he's still counted. He's in there.
Trinity: He's actually counted twice.
Will: He's got other Darryls. It's one of those tricky things -- I agree the platform is growing overall, but we lack a really meaty metric to get our hands around what's going on. It's a hard question -- sorry, I threw you a "what's going to happen in the future" question, which is a big no-no in crypto.
Kaloh: About two months ago, when fx(hash) was getting all this attention, a lot of the people collecting there were coming from Ethereum, and they expected fx(hash) to reach the same floors and volume Art Blocks had at its peak last year. That's very hard -- Art Blocks' volume was crazy high, very hard to replicate. When they saw that wasn't going to happen in the short term, they kind of left. They were expecting that from one month to the next we'd see a new Fidenza on Tezos that everybody wants to collect, don't miss out. But it's going to take more time for that to happen.
Fidenza — Tyler Hobbs
Trinity: When you're expecting these giant floors and then you leave, you're kind of preventing that floor rise from happening. A lot of floors have been at their highest when we have the most active and ardent collectors, and obviously you don't want to be the person single-handedly pulling the floor up as you buy higher and higher -- but it's an interesting market action to look at from a long-term perspective. It would make sense that being early on fx(hash) means something different than it did for Art Blocks back when NFTs were at the tippy-top of their height. Buying an Art Blocks piece for 8 tez and holding it long-term seems like a no-brainer. So the fact that people would just leave the platform altogether, instead of buying on the primary or picking things up on the secondary when they're getting flipped really low, is an interesting chain of events.
Kaloh: I collect mostly because I like the art. I feel like these NFTs might go up in value at some point, and maybe I'll sell them -- that's great -- but a big part of my portfolio, I have because I like it, and that's not the general case. Most people in NFTs are here to make money, to flip and get gains. Those people will probably find opportunities elsewhere, on other chains or whatever the hot platform of the month is -- they're just jumping around chasing investments. But the people who stay, and the ones joining now, are here because they like the art or like to create it. Those are the ones fx(hash) wants around long-term, because they'll be here regardless of the floor, regardless of whether volume is high or low. Of course it's good to have whales and big investors -- that's important -- but more important, especially at this early stage, is having true fans. Those are the ones who'll be around in five or ten years and will tell the story. That doesn't mean the people who came during those hype months won't come back -- they're probably investing elsewhere for now, but fx(hash) will be on their radar once volume climbs again.
Will: I remember in January, when we started noticing the slowdown, some of the bigger users in the Discord who also played a lot on ETH were saying everyone's just paying attention to ETH PFP projects right now, that's where the money is. They were thinking about it purely from an ROI standpoint: let us go make our money on ETH, then we'll come back and invest with passion on fx(hash). If you're a large enough wallet, whether you mint a project or buy on the secondary at 2x, 3x, 5x over mint, it probably doesn't matter much on a cost basis when you're talking Tezos prices versus ETH. So I think there's something to that. But I know you started talking about your approach to collecting, and looking at your newsletter and the data you put out every week, I actually don't know what you like to collect that much. What type of art do you like to collect? Do you do any flipping at all? That's something we talk about on the show -- we flip sometimes to sustain our wallets when we have to. What's your approach?
Kaloh: I don't think I collect anything specifically. Over the past two or three months I've been collecting mostly generative art on fx(hash), but I also collect from time to time on other Tezos platforms, and I'm active on Ethereum too. I do flip, but not on a daily basis. I'm not really selling much, to be honest -- I think I've sold five or six things total since I joined, out of NFTs worth over a hundred tez. Ethereum is more where I flip, but that takes a lot of time to do short-term. I did pay attention to that -- what to buy today, what to flip, checking all the floors -- during my first three or four months in the space, but I didn't enjoy it. You could make money doing that, but it wasn't very rewarding, so I switched to a more sustainable, long-term strategy.
I collect what I like in terms of art, but I pay a lot of attention to the artist -- their background, history, how they manage their portfolio, their style, their socials. I'm trying to invest in artists who will be doing this over the next five to ten years, who aren't just here for the hype. Those are the ones I collect. I also pay attention to how something was created -- is it unique, something I haven't seen before? I see a lot of abstract landscape pieces lately -- mountains, a lot of mountains.
Trinity: Seascapes, trees.
Fidenza — Tyler Hobbs
Kaloh: Right. At the beginning that was unique -- when Zancan created his piece, the garden, monoliths, that was amazing, still very unique. Now I'm trying to find things that are still unique, and I look at how the code was made -- I don't read the code, but I try to get a feel for how complex it was to create that piece. Mostly I'm collecting for the long term. I've sold two or three things on fx(hash), but listing and checking floors takes a lot of time. Anybody can do it, and you can earn some income that way, but it's not rewarding for me. I'm trying to collect things for the long term -- some I might flip eventually, some I'll never sell. Probably 15% of my collection I'll never sell. The rest, if the price is right, maybe -- but I don't think we're there yet; I expect it to keep growing. I really enjoy what I'm doing and what the artists are doing, and I believe that if fx(hash) is still around in five or ten years and keeps growing at this pace, the collections from the first five or six months will be very valuable.
Trinity: That's something we're all looking forward to -- it's just hard to hold that long-term view when we're still so young and new to it. When it comes to the stable, down market we've been experiencing over the last month or so, has that impacted the way or the volume with which you collect?
Kaloh: I would say a little bit, but also because I'm not flipping. If I'm not flipping, it's hard to continue buying art. If I had more time to flip some things, clean my portfolio, and generate more income, I could sustain collecting more. But I'd rather use that time writing or reading what's going on. Part of it is the volume — volume went down, so I haven't flipped things I otherwise might have. But I still check the drops daily and try to mint things as they come up. It's very hard to mint, as you know, so sometimes if I miss a mint I'll jump in a few days later.
I was collecting a lot in December. I also sold some things on Ethereum and moved part of that into Tezos, which is something I'd wanted to do for a while. When you think about it, you can easily flip things on Ethereum for 1 ETH and up, and when you move that to Tezos, that's a lot — you can buy plenty of things. Once that move ran its course, I settled into a more selective strategy.
Will: Trinity and I were both there during the honeymoon phase in December, when it seemed like you literally could not miss on a mint — everything you minted was immediately worth 10x. That was really the heyday.
Trinity: It was so much fun.
Fidenza — Tyler Hobbs
Will: It was a lot of fun, and stressful, because you didn't want to miss anything, but it was quite a ride and got us addicted enough to make this show. You mentioned it can be hard to compete for mints now. I don't disagree, and a lot of that is driven by people who are really logged on and want to flip, behaving within normal human limits, but also by people running bots, multiple wallets, and scripts. Do you have a view on what that's doing to the platform? Is it a long-term problem? I'm sure it exists on Ethereum too, but I haven't traded enough there to know how much of an impact it has on those economies.
Kaloh: In my opinion, there's nothing wrong with flipping. It actually brings some advantages — exposure to artists, liquidity, and more royalties to fx(hash) and to artists. I have nothing against flippers, but I do think bots are a problem. Flippers keep the flow, the liquidity, the volume, going. Bots are different because they can create a kind of monopoly over things, and they're very hard to track. I believe the fx(hash) team has mentioned they're analyzing this — checking the blockchain — and they probably already have a big list of wallets using bots. There should be a way to block them, and they're already working on the whitelist system.
Bots also hurt artists because their pieces end up distributed among people who aren't collecting because they like the work — they're just in it for financial gain. They can drive the price up and down, which affects an artist's collections if bots are manipulating the floor. That's not good for an artist's long-term image. Flippers, on the other hand, are more okay, because they bring hype. It's like a concert: if tickets for a big band sell out quickly, that's because the band is in demand. As long as the way people acquire the tickets is fair, that's a good sign — it brings attention to the artist.
I think the bot situation will be solved with whitelists. Artists can create their own restrictions on who mints, build their communities, and be more selective — maybe 50-60% of pieces go to a whitelist and the rest to public sale, which is closer to how it works on Ethereum. Whitelists bring their own problems, though — they can become boring, and spending a lot of time trying to get on one isn't really a solution either. For that to happen you need huge demand in the first place. I think whitelists work fine as an early, short-term solution, but the problem becomes so many people wanting in that it creates a new bottleneck. Still, I'm not against flippers — I think they bring some good things too.
Will: We flip too, so we're not against it either — we try to flip ethically. It's such a strange thing with the bots, because the primary tool artists have used to combat it is pricing — trying to price the work at the level flippers might flip it at. So if they were going to put it at 10, maybe they price it at 25 or 30 instead. We've seen mixed results: sometimes you get these nice slow mints where only real collectors get in, happening over hours instead of minutes, and then you get a sustained floor that holds or climbs. But sometimes an artist tries that and gets completely botted and flipped on anyway, after two or three or four drops. It creates a really schizophrenic ecosystem for artists, where all they want is to get paid what they think the work is worth and get it into collectors' hands. It seems like all these factors work against that, when the whole idea of the blockchain is supposed to make this frictionless — and instead you get all these market-based conflicts that are genuinely hard to resolve.
Kaloh: Exactly. There's also the question of how often an artist should release collections. I don't think it's sustainable to release every two or three days — better to work on longer-term projects and release every month or two. That way there's always an expectation that people will be looking for your mint. But it's an open platform, so people can do different things — maybe you're experimenting, maybe it's a hobby, maybe you have the time now and won't later.
Fidenza — Tyler Hobbs
I feel like big artists will always mint out if they've built the right image. Marcelo Soria-Rodriguez, for example — with Contrapuntos and Entretiempos — built huge hype on fx(hash) and moved on to Art Blocks with his curated series. Even with all that hype, he only released two collections on fx(hash). I think things would have gone very differently if he'd released 10 or 15 collections in that time. It's about how artists manage their drops and build expectation around their work.
Trinity: It's an interesting thing to think about, because we've seen a lot of artists drop every few days — sometimes multiple times in the same day — which clearly isn't sustainable. But it's also really hard to always play by the market's rules when those rules are constantly changing, evolving faster than you can respond to or think through. Every week is different, every day is different — sometimes it even comes down to which time zones are active right now. It's a huge amount of work to keep up with.
Will: I'm curious — I tried to get you to name names earlier when I asked who you collect — but who do you think is doing it right? I have a few names in mind, but it's your interview, so I want to hear yours first. Who's hitting every mark: communicating well on social media, dropping quality work at the right frequency, pricing it right, all of it? Who are some of your favorites on fx(hash)?
Kaloh: If you think about success rate, Mark Knol on fx(hash) has done a lot of things right, and it's working out very well for him. He has a solid community, a real brand with Smolskull, and he's released many collections — not just two or three, probably over ten — while experimenting with different things along the way. I can't fully explain what it is, but people like his style, and he was early on the platform, having been on Tezos even before fx(hash).
Smolskull — markknol
I also think Yazid is doing great work. He's released a lot too — not a lot, but probably around ten collections — and they're consistently high quality. Beyond that it's hard to single people out, because if you look at the top 25 Tezos collections by market cap, many are worth over 10,000 tez, and they're all doing well. But Yazid and Mark Knol are good examples, even if it's hard to pin down exactly what they're doing right. What about you two — who's on your list?
Will: I'd say "vibes" is probably the word you're looking for — that's what we say in the US, that someone's got good vibes. I don't always know why we like them.
Trinity: Jazzy.
Will: Yeah, there's something jazzy about them. One I'd throw out is Rudxane — I think he's doing something right, not just with frequency (he's on a pace of about once a month now), but with the intention behind each release. Since doing the Dutch auction and moving away from just low-price drops, he's really established himself, and the work is diverse. He's also such a cornerstone of the community in the Discord. So he's one I'd nominate.
Kaloh: Definitely, and you can see the progress in his work — it's evolved a lot over the last three or four months. I really like that.
Trinity: For me, one artist who's done so well despite not releasing much is Erik Swahn — Disegnatori, Farbteiler, and Retrogrades. Just three projects, and nothing new this year at all, yet they all maintain healthy floors. Disegnatori had a big sweep earlier this week — the floor doubled through the efforts of one person. That's a project being held up by its collectors more than anything.
Farbteiler — Erik Swahn
Kaloh: Totally agree. I wonder if he'll release something soon.
Trinity: Fingers crossed. Erik, if you're out there, let us know.
Will: We've talked a little about allowlisting and what's coming post-beta. Have you caught up on the new dynamics with the DAO system and the fx(hash) token?
Kaloh: I was actually thinking about that today. I'm looking forward to the curated spaces -- I think that's going to be amazing. It'll drive traffic to collections that are really good but forgotten, or that didn't get the right attention when they dropped. I wish there were a way to connect it to my newsletter, maybe in the future, so you could build these curated spaces outside of fx(hash) to drive traffic in. That would be a great tool for attracting newer users who have never been there.
But the token and the DAO -- those are very important for keeping the community strong. And for investors, it's another way to invest, not necessarily in the art or in supporting an artist directly. If you're an investor who isn't necessarily into generative art, you can just buy a bunch of tokens -- a more straightforward way of investing in the platform. I think that'll be attractive to a lot of people.
I was hearing Ciphrd on a Twitter Space -- it's amazing what they're releasing. I hope they can stick to their timeline. It's very optimistic, but they've been delivering time after time, so I'm sure they have the right people for it. If they can stick to it, in a couple of months this becomes a very solid platform all around -- top five in the whole NFT ecosystem, compared to any other chain.
Farbteiler — Erik Swahn
Trinity: That's high praise. I don't have as much experience with other NFT platforms, but from everything I've experienced on fx(hash) and Tezos, it is, in my opinion, de facto the best -- usability, community, the way it's structured. It's well suited to the excitement, the hype, and to enabling people to keep driving the market.
That said, a lot of this -- the fx(hash) token, the DAO -- is coming with the full launch, which is allegedly next month or so. People have been saying the slowness of the market right now could partly be due to everyone waiting for beta to end. What do you think happens as we transition out of beta into the full release?
Kaloh: The key thing is that all existing collections will remain on the old contract -- there'll be a difference between new collections and beta collections. Honestly, I don't have a strategy of holding out for the full launch to collect; I'm not waiting for that. What I think could happen is that tokens minted during the beta period end up with special value, simply because they were minted during a period that can never happen again. That's the only effect I can really see. Maybe other people are waiting to collect until after the new contract launches, but I haven't thought much about it.
Will: I think it's more the artists who are waiting to release, because they're worried that once we switch to the new contract, the old one will be deactivated. So an unminted project would essentially get burned by the move. Or if they have interrelated projects -- a multi-part series -- they don't want some parts stuck on the old contract, separated from the rest on the new one. We've seen artists popping in to say, "Don't worry, I'm releasing soon, just waiting for the new contract," which is supposed to arrive mid-March -- maybe a week or two after this episode comes out.
Kaloh: But will you still be able to trade the old tokens? I think from a viewing perspective they'll probably be separated somehow -- maybe an icon showing it's from the beta period, the old contract.
Trinity: I'm not sure why it needs to work that way, unless it's just a way of marking status -- "this is an OG project." I think the bigger concern is that you won't be able to mint any unminted beta projects anymore. Whatever's left unminted gets burned, and that set remains fixed as is. If anything, that'll help -- it'll naturally drive up the prices of projects that haven't sold out, since it makes them a smaller set.
Farbteiler — Erik Swahn
Will: There's also a lot of new features coming with the new contract -- multiple artists or wallets listed on a single project, so collaborative contracts, or built-in Dutch auctions so you don't have to manually manage the pricing. So there are quality-of-life reasons too: maybe I want to do a Dutch auction, but I don't want to babysit my drop for two hours adjusting the price.
Kaloh: We're getting close now -- what, two or three weeks away? If I had a new collection ready in a week or two, I'd probably wait for the new contract to launch. But if someone had a collection ready last week, during February, I think they'd still release it. I'm not sure, though -- maybe that's a good question for more active artists. I could run a Twitter poll on that.
Trinity: Well, technically you are an artist.
Will: And your Twitter following is way bigger than ours, so you should definitely run that poll and get some real data. It's interesting that you buy into the narrative that beta projects -- which will be labeled genesis tokens -- could have higher value. Right now a lot of the collector community is focused on the first 20 projects on the platform: the Logos, RGBs, Weave, all the way to number 20, Chromatic Dazzle by W. Blythe. Do you think the further back in history we go, the more asymmetry we'll see -- some projects sufficiently early to be grails, some grails purely on status and quality, like Zancan or Waiting in Afton or Loom -- and then everything else just becomes "cool that it's a beta piece, nice piece of history," while only 10 or 20 projects actually matter?
Loom — Anna Lucia
Kaloh: Tough question. I think it was Gary Vee -- the influencer, very vocal about NFTs -- who said probably 5% of NFTs will have value in the future, but only 1% will be really valuable. He also says that's probably very optimistic. I think that applies to fx(hash) and to NFTs generally, somewhere around those two numbers. We have, what, 40,000 or 50,000 collections at this point? It's impossible for anywhere near half of that to retain value -- there's just too much supply. I'd say maybe 0.5% of fx(hash) will have value in the future.
Will: We just crossed the 10,000-project mark last week. So 0.5 to 1% would be 50 to 100 projects -- not too far off that 10-to-20 mark, within an order of magnitude.
Trinity: I don't know if you follow TENDER at all, as a form of curation?
Kaloh: I've seen it.
Trinity: Those numbers roughly line up -- there are about 150, maybe 200 projects that have actually been curated. That's a bit larger than 1%, but roughly in line with what will actually retain value down the line.
Kaloh: And as there's more supply, there will be more valuable collections in absolute terms -- that's just how it works -- but it gets harder for the percentage to hold. We need more collectors, more users, for that. Still, 1% or 5% of this is a lot. As a collector, maybe your goal is to try to find the projects that will land in that 1%. Look at a piece or a collection and ask yourself: is this going to be in the top 1% of fx(hash) ten years from now?
Loom — Anna Lucia
Will: I wish I'd studied art in college so I'd have some real basis for making that assessment. That's one of the challenges we often run into on the show -- there are things that appeal to us, and there are things we know influencers say are good, and I think a large portion of the community is genuinely at a loss for how to appraise art in that sense. Anything that's actually valuable in 10, 20, 50 years is probably also going to be judged by the standards of the larger art community -- unless this space completely cleaves off and crypto becomes its own outsider community making its own rules.
Trinity: It's interesting to think about, because obviously artists are a huge part of our community on fx(hash). But outside of that group -- the people who are pure collectors, not designated artists -- how many of them actually have an art background outside of NFTs? Are we getting that kind of qualitative analysis from anywhere besides the more established members of the community who also carry the "artist" tag?
Will: Sometimes the most established artists are the ones who create the most friction. I won't name names, but there are generative artists with a lot of credentials whose work doesn't get minted or trade at the level of, say, a Tree of the Week or a Mountain of the Week -- even though they're far more likely to stand the test of time over 20 or 30 years. It's bizarre that the community effectively says, "You didn't make me a mountain, so I'm not collecting you this week."
Kaloh: On the point about needing an art degree to critique these projects -- generative art has existed since computers could be coded, but combining it with NFTs feels like a genuinely new start. We really need critics and art historians to write these storylines and explain what has value and what doesn't. It's a new field, and I don't know yet whether the people who fill that role will be collectors or artists themselves. I'm trying to find good sources on this, because I want to get more educated -- not just on the financial side, but on the art side. It's not easy to find those resources; there are plenty of good books out there, but not on what's happening now with NFTs, blockchain, Art Blocks, and fx(hash). It's a completely new field, and we need more people thinking about it, critiquing it, curating it. I think it'll come naturally -- I just hope it happens fast.
Will: I know you're embarking on this adventure in March of writing about an artist a day. I don't know if you're going to be reaching out to them for interviews or if it'll just be you sitting with their work and writing about them, but maybe you'll start to form a greater thesis around these thirty-odd artists you're going to be writing about. I know you've listened to the show, so you know I do this thing called being the time cop — we're over an hour, so let's wrap up. Talk a little about this upcoming project and where people can find you if they aren't already subscribed to your newsletter. I think it'll be a great way for people to get acquainted with your writing.
Kaloh: I'm running this challenge — thirty NFT artists for thirty days. I'll be writing an article each day, nothing too long. I want them to be short reads you can take five minutes to look at in the morning and discover new artists. It'll be a mix of interview and me talking a bit about their art, and I'm planning to ask them questions like: what do you consider to be good generative art, and where should other artists and collectors look for resources to get more educated in this field?
Loom — Anna Lucia
I'm looking forward to it — trying to showcase artists who maybe aren't getting noticed yet, and learning from them and their process along the way. Hopefully people will enjoy it. It'll be on my newsletter, kaloh.xyz.
Will: We'll link to that in the show notes along with your Twitter. Kaloh, thank you so much for coming on. I hope you enjoyed it.
Trinity: I enjoyed it.
Kaloh: It was very nice to talk — video calls, talking fx(hash), it's a very podcast experience. I'm mostly talking about this stuff on Twitter or in the Discord, so this was different, and very enjoyable. Thank you for doing it.
Will: It's great to have you on to talk about the market, something we all love. Follow Kaloh, check the show notes, and that's it for this one. Thank you everyone, we'll talk to you soon.
Trinity: All right, thanks, Will.
Loom — Anna Lucia
Speaker A: All right, hello and welcome again everyone to a special bonus episode of Waiting to Be Signed. I'm here with co-host Trinity as always, and this week we have a special guest, Kaloh, from Twitter, from his newsletter, from Spain. I'm just going to kind of let you introduce yourself from here. I think you're a big character in the NFT space. Maybe you can let us know how you got involved, what brought you to NFTs, fx hash, Tezos, you know, all the above.
Speaker B: Well, thanks, thanks for the invite and doing this. I think it's Great podcast, and and yeah, I feel like we need more more of this kind of content. And yes, you said I am I'm known as Kalo, and and I've been writing a newsletter called Kalo's Newsletter for around eight months now. Yeah, how I I kind of you know I always wanted to to write in the past. I I've written blogs about baseball and stats. But they didn't, like, I didn't continue for as long as now. I guess my background is in technology. I'm a software developer and I work in tech for around 8 years doing, you know, software development, data science, and product management. And yeah, I always, you know, I'm very interested in new technologies and I guess that's how I got into the crypto world. And then later into NFTs. And I guess now I'm also a collector, right? And I also released some of my own NFTs. But yeah, I guess the main thing I'm doing now is the newsletter.
Speaker C: That's amazing. And obviously 8 months ago is way longer than FX Hash has been around. So when did you actually get into NFTs? Was it like an entry point of you saw the space, you loved it, you started your newsletter, or? What's your journey like been through the space?
Speaker B: I discovered, well, crypto a long time ago. I think it was in 2013, so 7 years ago. I wrote an article about that and how I was mining Bitcoins with some friends, some colleagues at the office. But somehow I stopped doing that and I didn't come back to crypto for like 5 years. And it was, I mean, last year, 2021, I started to read very early, like in January, About Ethereum and all these dApps and all the things you could actually build on top of this blockchain, and I really liked that. I think it was much more interesting than just Bitcoin, and I started to play around, build some things like in my free time. And I guess in March, right? That's when NFTs were in the headlines because of all the big sales. So I mean, it was very hard for me to. To understand what was going on and trying to find good sources explaining what was happening, both in, you know, in dApps in general, in the whole ecosystem, DeFi, but also how NFTs worked. And it took me a while, you know, to understand what— how the whole thing worked. And I wanted to do— I had some free time, I wanted to do something on my free time, and I said, okay, I can just start writing along the way. And I didn't know at the beginning what was it that I was going to write, right? But then I just said, well, when I discover something new, something cool, I will just write an article. I didn't even have a goal. I wanted to do it weekly or daily or monthly. I just went with the flow and it started to grow, right? Like, I guess, as I said, there wasn't that much content around. And yeah, it started to get some subscribers and discover Twitter. And I guess that's— I took it from there and just naturally wrote what I thought was interesting.
Speaker C: Has it always been market-focused? I know that's really been your focus, at least as it pertains to the work on Tezos. What was your early content about? Because like, I think that the market then was just crazy volatility. Nobody knows what's happening.
Speaker B: My first articles were more about artists, right? Like some artists that I like, and I wrote about their NFTs, explaining what I thought it was, like the art behind it. But then You know, I started to collect PFPs projects on Ethereum, and I wrote about my experience doing that. I collected the Pudgy Penguins, which were like from one week to another blew up like over one ETH each of them. So I kind of wrote a story, right? Like how everything since the moment I mint them until I sold some of those. And so I started to dig into the economics, right? Like the return of investment. And but I also wrote about the community aspect, meeting people online and what it means to be part of a community and all these projects that actually have a goal, right? Like an end goal is not just to make money. So that was like probably around the first 2 months, 3 months, I was still like writing about different things. But then fxhash, as you mentioned, when fxhash came around, that was November, around those months. So that The volume was very high. You know, very quickly it became like a very important marketplace on Tezos. And as I was collecting, I couldn't find like information. How are things going? Are they going up or down? If I buy this, what was the price last week? And after I bought it, like I wanted to understand, okay, am I like doing well or not? So I started to do it for myself. As I said, I was writing mostly about what I was doing, what I was learning. I started to Post these Twitter threads about the market analysis, just to inform what was going on with the market. Right? And then, as I got more confident, I started adding some insights. Right? Like what I thought could happen, what was driving the prices. I think people liked that because again it was needed. Right? There were not many resources doing that. Now FX hash has evolved, and they are adding more statistics and. You can see the leaderboards and you see some information, but still it's very hard to cover everything. And I think the best is that external sources also support, right, like what's happening. It cannot be only the platform doing it. It needs to be like external players doing these sort of things.
Speaker A: I mean, that's one of the reasons we want to have you on, right? Because in some way our show is trying to do that as well, not just through our discussions, market trends and what we're observing and the way people are kind of talking in Discord, but also, you know, looping in artists and just recapping the week because it's so hard to remember what happened 2 weeks ago, 3 weeks ago. It feels like such a long time ago. Before we can, you know, I think the focus of this episode, we definitely want it to be on the market. So one, we forgot to do the disclaimer, of course, that none of this will be financial advice. This is just us talking about FXHash, the platform we know and love. So please enjoy and don't trade on any of this or make any decisions because of what we say. But before we really go formally into the market discussion, which I'm super excited about, I wanted to give you an opportunity to talk about the project you released recently, which first of all, congrats, sold out really quickly and has had quite a bit of activity on the secondary. And I saw you were putting some curated pieces up on OBJKT as well. So was that your very, very first NFT creation or just your first generative piece?
Speaker B: Thank you for the shout out. I created some NFTs in the past. I actually some of my editions, like the newsletter editions, I created them as NFTs as well, sort of like you could mint my newsletter. But I don't know, I, I feel like the marketplaces are not really there yet for written content, so I, I kind of stopped after a while. And then I also work in a project called the UniBots, where I mostly did like the communications and the technology part, like the smart contract. And the art was done by 2 artists, one from Argentina called Multivac and Datcel from Mexico. So I work in the past year, I work on that project, which was more like a PFP community-driven project, right? And then I work on the Impossible Sneakers. Yeah, I released that a couple of weeks ago. Yeah, I was very, very excited. I mean, the whole thing was very interesting, like Putting myself in the shoes of the of the artist and coding it. I think I learned a lot from the whole whole experience. How to from an idea until the final creation, the final algorithm, and then seeing the the reception. I I was not expecting it. It was mint like in forty forty seconds. I I also made it sort of like a small collection. I didn't want it to be like five hundred one thousand pieces. It was seventy five. And I think it's complicated to create, you know, a generative collection. You have to take many things into account and you have to also do many, many tests and see many iterations to actually understand what's happening. And you cannot do it like one by one, which is something I learned. If you just test and see outputs one by one, you kind of lose the feeling of how the whole collection will look. At the end. So you need to see them as maybe 50 by 50 and trying different outputs. And also getting feedback from my readers, from Twitter was very interesting. I try to use the build in public. I don't know if it's a technique or how you can call it, but basically sharing your progress right over time and see what people say, if they like it, if they have some ideas. And that was very, very, very cool. And getting the feedback while I was coding it.
Speaker A: Yeah, super similar to what we've been doing with the podcast now, like once a month releasing an NFT on fx hash as a way to fundraise and so that the community can support the show if they enjoy it. And it was really rewarding actually today, Trinity, you were away while this happened, but someone in the gallery section of the Discord posted a picture of their gallery that had one of our fractal NFTs in it. And I was like, oh, thank you for supporting the podcast. And they're like, I don't even listen to the podcast. minted it because I thought it was cool, which was like, okay, 2 and a half months of learning p5 is starting to pay off maybe. So yeah, super cool that you're, you know, you went down that same kind of journey into creating that we have been. I assume you use p5, right?
Speaker B: Yes, just p5. And I don't know, I feel like you can use other libraries, right? But I wanted to use just p5 and I still want to kind of master p5. I think there are many, many more things to try and learn, and before adding something else, I would like to, you know, get, get better at p5.
Speaker C: I mean, I think that from what I've seen, p5 can just go so deep and goes forever. It's basically a question of how much math do you want to be able to apply to it. But I'm assuming that your programming background, that you've been— you're very familiar with JavaScript generally. And that p5 was more of just learning a new way to think about it.
Speaker B: Yeah, I actually worked a lot with Java at the beginning, which is not, I mean, it's similar to JavaScript, but I didn't do much frontend-wise, right? I always worked like more in the backend roles and data science, right? So that's really like, you don't really need to, you don't pay too much attention into the frontend. It's mostly like, well, some charts, some, how to explain what sort of what you discover, like maybe do a presentation, but not so much like I never work in UI and UX. I did design some things, but more like, you know, mockups and like raw mockups, but not into the creative part. And that's, I think, something that I'm learning now and I'm really enjoying.
Speaker A: That's the— that'll be the p5 corner of the podcast. That's kind of the first time we've really talked openly about that on the show. But yeah, I think let's transition into FXHash markets and trends. It's been a really interesting time on the platform, I would say in February in particular, but starting with the new year, I think we've just kind of seen a relaxing of pace in the market. Every week seems to have brought less new generators, new drops from artists, artists taking longer time in between or maybe churning away from the platform. lower volume kind of across the boards, not just on fxhash, but it seems globally, right? There's just so much going on. So curious to know, like, what's your current take on the state of the market and what do you feel in NFTs in general or for fxhash where we might be going in the coming weeks or months?
Speaker B: It's very hard to say, right? Because it's in terms of what can happen, because it's still a very new space, right? And it's a completely greenfield. So we will have to, I think the best way to try to predict or understand what could happen is to look at Ethereum, right? That has been around for a little bit longer. And what I've seen there, it's that there are trends and there are ups and downs and cycles, right? So the NFT space, it doesn't matter what kind of art or what kind of platform you're using, it's a lot driven by hype. And news, and there are some triggers that cause more traffic to come to X or Y platform, right? So we saw that, I think fx hash started out impressive way, right? Like it was less than a month that the platform was around and we had many artists, many collectors already in there. And basically, I don't know, like 60, 70% of the projects were minting out. I think that the Since it started like so fast and the growth was so so quick at the beginning, it's hard to maintain that rhythm, right? It's not sustainable that those things continue, those numbers continue to to show to happen every every day. And I think we are more in a stable zone right now, and we need to look the volume, but we also need to look at the numbers in in terms of users, right? Like how many users, how many new artists, and how many collectors or unique wallets are in the platform. And that's growing constantly. Like every time I do my analysis, we're up on a weekly basis, probably like from 5 to 15% monthly. And that's, that's our great numbers. If we keep that rate for a year or two, we'll be in a great spot in terms of users. It's true that the volume, it's, it's a little bit down compared to the peaks, but still, if we do like average take into account the average, it's still going up. As I said, I still see it growing and maybe not sure if— I mean, a good comparison or something to take into account is when we compare Ethereum to Tezos. I was running some numbers the other day in terms of volume and Tezos is still in volume 1% of what Ethereum is right now. Of course, there are some very high collections on Ethereum driving that volume, right? Because we have the Apes and we have all these over 10 ETH collections. But that's— imagine like if Tezos just grows and becomes 5% of Ethereum or 10% of Ethereum, we'll see what, like x10, x20 of what we have at the moment. And fx hash, of course, being the only generative art platform and having this solid community of artists, collectors, it will get noticed even faster, right? The volume will grow from one month to another much faster, right? So yes, something to think about. I like to compare things, right, to keep track of more on a monthly basis and try to compare those key stats, right? Number of users and number of artists. I think that's the most important.
Speaker A: Yeah, you know, I was really into the number of wallets or number of users metric, and now I'm starting to feel like Paradoxically, right, the number of users goes up but our volume is going down. And I just wish there was some way or some site that was keeping track of on-chain that measured the frequency with which— or only counting wallets that interacted on a daily basis or every other day, right? Because it's really hard to know what number of those wallets have been inactive for 2, 3, 4, 6 weeks, but they're still counted, right? So it shows us growth. I think there's this well-known whale from back in December named Darold who just hasn't been around, right? And everyone's like, where's Darryl? But he's counted. He's in there.
Speaker C: He actually counted twice.
Speaker A: He's also other Darryl. He's got other Darryls. Yeah, it's one of those tricky things where I agree, I feel like the platform is in general growing, and, but we lack a super meaty metric to really get our hands around what's going on. Yeah, it's a hard question. Sorry, I threw you like a what's going to happen in the future question, which is a big no-no in crypto.
Speaker B: Yeah, I think also 2 months ago when fx hash was getting all this attention, people that were collecting there, many people were coming from Ethereum, and they were thinking that fx hash will get to the same level, like the floors and the volume that Art Blocks had at their peak last year. And but that's, that's very hard, right? Like Art Blocks volume was crazy high. It's very hard to replicate those numbers. So then when they saw that that was not going to happen in the short term, they kind of left. That's something that I've been thinking, right? Like they were expecting, okay, from one month to another, we see these, the same floors, we see like maybe a new Fidenza on Tezos and everybody wants to collect that one. Don't miss out. But I think that, yeah, it will take, it will take more time for that to happen.
Speaker C: But again, it's kind of when you are expecting these giant floors and then you leave, you're kind of preventing that floor rising from happening. You know, I think that, you know, a lot of the floors have been at their highest when we have the most active and the most ardent collectors. And so obviously you don't want to be the person who's single-handedly pulling the floor up with you as you buy higher and higher, but it is an interesting market action to kind of, to look at from a long-term perspective. It would make sense to understand that what it means to be early Might be different on FXHash than what it meant for Art Blocks way back when NFTs were at the tippiest top of their height. Buying an Art Brad, for example, for 8 tez and just kind of holding it long-term, it seems like a no-brainer. So the fact that they would like just leave the platform altogether and not even try to purchase things on the primary or, you know, when things are getting flipped really low on the secondary, I don't know. It's an interesting chain of events. Yeah.
Speaker B: It's also because some, for example, I collect mostly because I like the art, right? So I feel like I collect things because there is a chance these NFTs go high in value at some point. Maybe I sell them. That's great. But also I will say big part of my portfolio, I have it because I like them, but that's not the general case. Most people on NFTs are here to make money, right? And to flip NFTs and maybe buy and get 100% gains. So those will probably find some opportunities somewhere else, right? Maybe on other chains or other hot platforms. So the hype of the month. So they will— they probably are just jumping around doing these sort of investments. But the people that stay and the ones that are joining now are the ones that are here because either they like the art or they like to create art. And those, If we think about the long term, are the ones that FXHash wants to have around because they will be around. It doesn't matter what the floor is. It doesn't matter if the volume is high or low. They want, they like to actually create or collect on the platform. And I think that's the key at this moment. Of course, it's good to have whales and have these big investors, right? That's important. But more importantly is to have these true fans, especially now that it's not even like 6 months old. Those are the, the ones that will be around from 5, 10 years from now and will tell the story, right? And but it doesn't mean, right, like those that came during those months will not come back. They are probably, as I said, maybe investing somewhere else, but they will for sure have it in their radar once volume goes back to higher numbers.
Speaker A: Yeah, I remember in December when we started not even December, in January, and we started noticing the slowdown, then one of the narratives in the Discord from some of the bigger users who also played a lot on ETH were like, everyone's just paying attention to ETH PFP projects right now and that's where all the money is to be made. And they were thinking about it from a purely ROI standpoint. It was like, you know, let us go make our money on ETH and then we're going to come back and invest with passion on FXHash. Because if you're a large enough wallet, whether or not you mint a project or buy one on the secondary, even if it's like 2 or 3 or 5x over mint by the time you buy it, it probably doesn't matter that much to you on a cost basis level because we're still talking about Tezos here versus ETH, right? So I definitely think there's something to that. But I know you started talking about your approach to collecting, and I'm curious to know from looking at your newsletter and looking at the data you put out every week, I actually don't really know what you like to collect that much.
Speaker C: Yeah.
Speaker A: So I'd be curious to know like what type of art you like to collect and Do you do any flipping at all? You know, that's something that we talk about on the show is that we do kind of flip to sustain our wallets when we have to. And like, what's your approach to that?
Speaker B: Let me start from what I collect. I think I don't have like anything specifically that I collect. Over the past 2, 3 months, I've been collecting mostly generative art on FXHash, but I do collect from time to time You know, in on other Tezos platforms, and I'm also active on Ethereum. I do flip, but I don't I'm not doing that like on a daily basis. As you said, like I I'm probably selling on Tezos. I'm not really selling much, to be honest. I think I have sold like five to six things that since I joined from when you think about big NFTs like over a hundred Tezos. I see more Ethereum as the place where I flip. But again, it takes a lot of time to do it short term. I don't know. I did it when I when I joined like the first three four months when I joined the NFT space. I was paying attention to like what to buy today, what to flip, checking all the floors. But I didn't I didn't enjoy that, right? So you could make money doing that, but it was not very rewarding. Let's say so. I kind of changed that for a more sustainable strategy. So I'm thinking more long term. So basically, I'm collecting. What I like in terms of art, but I pay a lot of attention to the, to the artist, their background, their history, how they manage their portfolio, their style, their socials. For me, very important. I'm trying to invest in artists that will be doing this over the next 5, 10 years, that they are not just here for the hype, but they are actually going to be here around for 5, 10 years, as I said. So those are the ones that I'm collecting, but I also pay a lot of attention to How was it created? Is it something very unique that I haven't seen around? I see a lot of abstract creations. So I see recently a lot of, probably you have seen all these, how do you call them? Views, right? Like mountains and yeah, a lot of mountains.
Speaker C: Seascapes, trees.
Speaker B: Yeah. Yeah. So at the beginning it was unique, right? And when Zancan created his Zancan piece, which still is very, very unique, the monoliths, the garden monoliths, that was amazing. But now I'm not, you know, I'm trying to find unique things and I'm also looking into how they create the code. I'm not reading the code, but I'm trying to get a feeling of how complex it is to create that piece in particular. But I'm collecting mostly for the long term. So I probably sold 2 or 3 on fx hash at one point. I just listed them, but it takes a lot of time, you know, to be listing and to be checking the floors. And many people do it, and it's something that anybody can do, and you probably can earn some income doing that. But I say it's not really rewarding for me, so I'm trying to collect things for the long term that maybe I flip at some point, and things that I just will never flip, right? I just want to hold them. I like the art. Probably 15% of my collection I will never sell. And then the rest, if the price is right, maybe I will, but I don't think it is at this moment, right? I expect it to keep growing. I really enjoy what I'm doing and what all the artists are doing. And I truly believe that if fxhash is around 5, 10 years from now and keeps growing at this pace, especially the collections from the first 5, 6 months will be very valuable.
Speaker C: I think that's something that we're all looking forward to. It's just hard to kind of have that long-term view when we're still so young and so, so new to it. When it comes to like the stable or like the down market that we've been experiencing over the last month or so, has that impacted the way or the volume with which you collect?
Speaker B: Yeah, I would say a little bit, but also because I'm not flipping, right? So if I'm not flipping, it's hard to just continue to buy art. If I had more time to maybe flip some things and kind of clean my portfolio and get more income. That way I could sustain collecting more. But at the same time, I prefer to use that time writing or, you know, reading what's going on. Yeah, I will say it's part of because of the volume, because the volume went down, so I haven't flipped some things that otherwise maybe I will. And yeah, but I still Like daily I check the drops, right? I try to mint things that come pop up. It's very hard to mint, as you know. So it's sometimes if I miss the mint, I'll jump in later, maybe a few days after. But yeah, I was collecting a lot in December. I think it was December. And also because I kind of sold the way I look at it. I sold some things on Ethereum and move part of that portion to Tezos, which is something that I wanted to do. For a while, when you think about it, you can easily flip things on Ethereum for 1 ETH and up. And when you move that to Tezos, that's a lot. Like, you can buy plenty of things. So once that move that I did kind of ran out, I now have like a more selective strategy, right?
Speaker A: Yeah, I think both Trinity and I have— we were there during the honeymoon phase in December when it just seemed like you literally could not miss on a mint and everything you minted was immediately worth 10x what you minted it for and just That was really the heyday.
Speaker C: It was so much fun.
Speaker A: It was a lot of fun. It was stressful because you'd want to be up and you wouldn't want to miss anything, but it was quite a ride and got us pretty addicted enough to make this show. But you, you know, you were saying now that it can be hard to compete for mints. I don't disagree, and I think a lot of that is driven by obviously people who are really logged on and want to be flipping, you know, humans who are behaving within their normal restrictions, but then also people who are running bots. bots or multiple wallets and scripting. I'm sure you're aware of that. Do you have any kind of view on what that's doing to the platform? Is that a long-term problem? I mean, I'm sure it exists on ETH, but I've, I've not really traded enough on ETH to know how much of an impact that has on the economies there.
Speaker B: In my opinion, there is nothing wrong with flipping, right? I think it actually brings some advantages, right? It brings exposure to artists, it brings liquidity, and It pays more royalties to the FX hash, to the platforms, and to artists. I have nothing against flippers, but I am think bots are not positive. So for me, flippers are positive. It keeps kind of the flow, the liquidity, the volume. But bots are not because they used you know it's kind of they can control create kind of a monopoly right of things, and it's very hard to track. I'm sure I think the FX hash team. They mentioned that they are analyzing these things, checking the blockchain, and they have probably already like a big list of wallets that are using bots. There should be a way to, you know, block bots. They are working already on the whitelist. Also, it hurts artists because their pieces are distributed among people that not necessarily collect them because they like, right? They are just collecting for financial gains. And they can drive the price up and down. Yeah, that can affect them if they have multiple collections being collected by bots. They can play with the floors and that's not positive for their long-term, what do you say, image as an artist, right? Flippers, on the other hand, it's kind of okay because also they bring like this hype to some artists. And it's like when there is a concert in real life, right? There comes a big band comes to town. If the tickets sell out quickly, that's because the band is really demanded. So that's, as long as the ways to acquire the tickets are fine, that's okay. It brings hype and it brings some sort of attention to the artist. But I think this will be solved. The bot situation will be solved with whitelists. So then artists can create their own, you know, restrictions on who mints, work in their communities and be more restrictive and maybe at least have like 60, 50% of the pieces going to whitelist and the rest going in a public sale, which is what the happens on Ethereum. Now whitelists also bring all sorts of problems, and it could be very, very boring, and spending a lot of time to be on a whitelist is also— I don't think it's the solution. But for that to happen, there needs to be just huge amounts of demand. So I think the early days of whitelists are fine. The problem is so many people want to get into the whitelist that it becomes a problem. So as a short-term solution, I think it's it's going to work. But again, I'm not against flippers. I think they bring some good things also.
Speaker A: I mean, we flip, so we're not— we flip ethically and we're not against it either. Yeah, it's just such a strange thing with the bots because a lot of what artists have done now with the tools they have, their primary tool for combating it has been price and trying to price their work at that level that the flippers might be flipping it at. So if they were going to put it at 10, maybe they put it at 25 or 30. And we've seen such mixed results from that where sometimes you get these really nice slow mints where only collectors really get them and they happen over the course of hours instead of the course of minutes. And then we just have this nice sustained floor at that level that goes up or stays level, right? But then sometimes you have an artist who comes in and tries that and then they don't get minted at all after they've had 2 or 3 or 4 drops just completely botted and flipped on them. And it just creates this really schizophrenic—
Speaker C: Yeah.
Speaker A: ecosystem for artists to operate in where all they want is to get paid what they think the art is worth and get it into the hands of collectors. And it seems sometimes like all of these factors are working against them just doing that when, when we're trying to— we're trying to have this thing called the blockchain that's supposed to facilitate it and make it go super easily, right? It's supposed to be super frictionless and just all these other market-based conflicts arise that are super challenging to resolve.
Speaker B: Yeah, exactly. But also there is a thing about the How often should an artist release collections? And I don't think it's sustainable for artists to release collections every 2, 3 days, work maybe on longer, long-term projects and maybe release every month, every 2 months. In that way, you always have this sort of expectation people are going to be looking for your mint. But I mean, it's an open platform and you can do different things, right? You can have different strategies. You maybe are just experimenting. This is maybe a hobby. And maybe you now have the time to create, and maybe not in the future. I feel like big artists will always mint out, right? If you are able to create this good sort of image, and many use FXHash, for example, M Soria, you know, M Soria for Contrapuntos, Entretiempos. He built this huge hype on FXHash, and he moved on to Art Blocks now with his curated series. Even though he was very hyped, He only released 2 collections on fxhash. And I think that, that work, it probably would have been very different if he released 10 or 15 collections during that time on fxhash. So it's also about how the artists manage their drops and how they build expectation for their collections.
Speaker C: Yeah, I think it's just an interesting thing to think about because I think that we have seen a lot of artists, as you said, drop every few days. Sometimes people drop multiple times in the same day. And it's definitely like not sustainable from that perspective. But I think that it's really hard to always be trying to work in like the rule set of how the market is operating because the rules are constantly changing. It's definitely evolving at like a much faster rate than you can possibly respond to or think through. Every single week is different. Every single day is different. Sometimes it's even thinking about what time zones are like active right now. It's a huge amount of work.
Speaker A: I'm curious to know, and I was kind of trying to get you to give some names before when I was asking who you collect, but who do you think is doing it right and is a good example? Like, I have a few names that I can think of and throw out, but I'm cur— you know, it's your interview, so I'm curious to know what you think, Kaloh. Like, who's high on your list of they're kind of just hitting every mark in terms of they're communicating in social media, they're dropping quality work, the right frequency, their pricing, everything. Like, who are some of your tops on FX Hash?
Speaker B: If you think about the success rate, I think Mark Knoll on FX hash. He I mean he has done many things right and it's working out very well. He has a solid community now. He has kind of a brand in small schools, and he has released many collections, right? It's not that he just made two three drops. He has probably over ten drops, and he has also experimented with different things. So I would say Mark Knoll is definitely. Doing something right. I don't know exactly how to explain what it is. I guess just people like his style, and he was early on the platform as well, and he has been on Tezos for a while before FXHash too. So that's something to take into account. I also think, you know, G. Wenlin is doing also great work. His collections are— he's also released a lot— well, not a lot, but probably over 10 collections, around 10 collections, and I think he's doing very well. It's high-quality collections. And then from there, I'm looking at my list because, you know, many— it's hard to say because many of— if you look at the over 25 Tezos collections, they are all doing great, right? These are collections that are worth— if you look at the market cap, some of them are worth over 10,000 Tezos. So many are doing well in terms of the most successful ones. So yeah, Yee Wen Ling is a good example and Mark Knol, but it's hard to explain what it is that they are doing Right. I'm also curious what— who are in your list, like, of the ones doing it well, doing it right?
Speaker A: I'll say that vibes is probably the word you're looking for. That's what we say in the US, that they've got good vibes. Like, I don't know why we like them.
Speaker C: Jazzy.
Speaker A: Yeah, there's something jazzy about them. One I would throw out would be Rudxane, I think is doing something right there, not only with the frequency. Now he's on a pace of about once a month. There's a lot of work and intention going into the releases. And now that he's done the Dutch auction and he's moved away from just these low-price drops, like, I think he's really established himself here and the diversity of the work. And he's also just such a cornerstone of the community in the Discord. So he's one I would nominate.
Speaker B: Yeah, definitely. And you see the progress on his work, right? He has kind of evolved from 3, 4 months from now. You see his collections changing and I really like that.
Speaker C: I think from my end, one of the artists that has just been doing so well despite not really releasing a lot has been Erik Swahn. With Disegnatori, Farbteiler, and then Retrogrades. Just 3 projects, which is really quite slow. No new projects this year at all, but they all seem to be maintaining healthy floors. Like Disegnatori went and had like a really big sweeping from earlier this week. The floor doubled just through the efforts of one person. But I think that's one that it's really being held by collectors more than anything.
Speaker B: Yeah, totally agree. I wonder if he will release something soon.
Speaker C: Fingers crossed. Eric, if you're out there, let us know.
Speaker A: Well, I was curious, you know, we've talked a little bit about the allow listing coming future post-beta. Have you kind of caught up on some of the new dynamics with the DAO system and the fx hash token?
Speaker B: Yeah, I was actually thinking about that today. I'm looking forward for the curated spaces. I think that's going to be amazing. It will actually drive traffic to certain collections that are really good, but are forgotten, or maybe they didn't get the right attention when they were dropped. So that's something that I'm looking forward. I wish there could be a way to connect it to my newsletter, for example, and maybe in the future, right? So that you can actually build these sort of curated spaces outside of fxhash to drive traffic into fxhash. I think that would be a great tool to attract newer users that have never been there. But the token and the DAO, I think those are very important. For the community, right, to keep the community strong. And also when you think about investors, it's another way to invest, not necessarily on the art, supporting the artist, right, directly. But if you are an investor that you are not necessarily into generative art, you can just invest by buying a bunch of tokens, right? So it's a more straightforward way of investing in the platform, and I think that will be attractive for many people. But yeah, I think that's a great move. I was hearing Cypher on a Twitter Space. I mean, it's amazing that they are releasing all these things. I hope they can stick to their timeline. I think it's very optimistic, but they have been delivering, right? Time after time. So I'm sure they have the right people to do it. They have been very accurate so far. I hope they can stick to the timeline. So in a couple of months, we should have all these things. makes it like a very solid platform all around. When you compare it to other chains as well, it's like top 5 platform in the whole NFT ecosystem for sure.
Speaker C: Wow. Those are, that's high praise. And I don't have as much experience with the other NFT platforms, but I can feel from everything that I've experienced on fx hash or on Tezos that it is de facto the best one in my opinion, just from usability, community, and just the way that it's It's really structured. I think it's really well suited for, you know, as you said, it's about the excitement, the hype, and also just kind of enabling people to continue to drive the market. I think with that said though, a lot of this FXHash token and the DAO where they're really coming in our full launch period, which is allegedly next month or maybe more in the next month or so, people have been saying a lot around the slowness of the market right now could be partially due to waiting for beta to end. What do you think will start happening as we transition out of beta and into like the full release platform?
Speaker B: I think that the key thing there is that all tokens, so all collections, will remain on the old contract, right? So there will be a difference between new collections and the beta collections. To be honest, I don't know if I particularly don't have any sort of strategy or just holding for the full launch to collect. I'm not waiting for that. What I think could happen in the future is that these tokens that were minted during the beta period could have a special value. Those could have additional value just because they were minted during the beta period, and that can never happen again. That's the only thing that I could see happening in the future, but I don't know, maybe, maybe people are actually waiting to collect after the full release or after this new contract is launched. But yeah, I haven't thought much about that.
Speaker A: I think it's more the artists who are waiting to release because they are worried about once we switch over to the new contract, the old contract will be deactivated. So if they have an unminted project, it's going to essentially be burned by moving over. Or if they have interrelated projects like a multiple-part series, they don't want to have some of them existing on the old contract and separated from the new contract. So, so that's kind of one thing we've seen is artists popping in and saying like, hey, don't worry, I'm going to release soon, but I'm just waiting for the new contract, which is supposed to come mid-March, right? So that would maybe be a week or two after this episode releases.
Speaker B: But one question, you will still be able to trade the old tokens, right? The thing is, probably from a view perspective, they will be separated maybe, or there will be like an icon showing if they are beta. From that period, from the old contract.
Speaker C: I don't know why it needs to be that way. Perhaps it's just a way of providing like a status that, hey, this is an OG project. I think that more of the concern is around the fact that you wouldn't be able to mint any of the beta projects. And so essentially, if it's not minted out, that's it, the rest will be burned. And it's kind of like that entire set will remain as is. But if anything, that'll help, it'll drive the prices of the projects that haven't minted naturally, making them a smaller set.
Speaker B: Yeah.
Speaker A: Or they know that there's a lot of new features coming on the new contract, like the ability to have multiple artists listed in, or multiple wallets, right? So collaborative contracts or Dutch auctions that are actually built in so you don't have to sit there and manually manage them. So there could be a lot of like just quality of life concerns where I had this idea, I want to do a Dutch auction, but I don't want to babysit my drop for 2 hours and change the pricing around.
Speaker B: I think maybe as well we're getting close to that, right? It's what, 2-3 weeks away? So probably, let's say, if I'm having a new collection ready in one, in one or 2 weeks, I will probably wait for that, the launch of the new contract. But during February, if they had a collection ready, let's say last week, I think they will still release it, right? But, but I'm not sure. Maybe it's a good question for Artie. Right, and artists that are more active. And maybe I could do— we'll run a Twitter poll on that.
Speaker C: Well, technically you are an artist, right?
Speaker A: One, you are an artist, and your Twitter is way bigger than ours, so you should definitely run that Twitter poll and get some serious data. So I think it was interesting to hear that you do kind of buy into the narrative that the beta projects, which are going to be labeled as like genesis tokens, could have a higher value. And I know right now a lot of the collector community is kind of focused on like first 20 projects on the platform. Obviously you have like the logos, RGBs, Weave, all the way up until like number 20 is Chromatic Dazzle by W. Blythe. Do you think it's kind of further back we go in history, we're just going to kind of see this more asymmetry, right? There's going to be projects that are sufficiently early to be grail or collectible. There's going to be projects from the beta that are just grails on status and quality, like Zancan or Waiting in Afton or, you know, Loom, things like that. And then what kind of happens to the rest? Does it have some kind of collectible value or do we stay with this very polarized outcome where a lot of it's just going to become, hey, it's cool that it's a beta piece. That's like a nice piece of history. But, you know, we're really only talking about 10 or 20 projects here that matter.
Speaker B: Yeah, well, it's a tough question, but I think it was Gary Vee, you know, the influencer. He's very vocal about NFTs, and he said that probably 5% of NFTs will have value in the future. But only like 1% will be like really valuable. So 5% will probably retain some value. 1% will be, you know, like the top and will be worth a lot. He also says that that's probably very optimistic. I think that applies, you know, to FXHash and to all NFTs, some number, some percentage around those two. So, well, what, what do we have? We have 20,000 or 40,000 collections, 50,000 collections, something like that. I think it's impossible for over 50% to retain value in the, in the future. It's very hard because there is just too much supply and it's very hard. So I would say maybe 0.5% of FXHash will have value in the future.
Speaker A: We just crossed the 10K, we just crossed the 10,000 project mark last week. So 0.5 to 1% would be 50 to 100 projects, right? So not, not too far off that 10 to 20 mark. It's within an order of magnitude of that.
Speaker C: And again, I don't know if you're following FX Tender at all as a form of curation.
Speaker B: I've seen it.
Speaker C: Yeah, those numbers roughly line up. I think there are about 150, maybe 200 projects that have actually been curated. And so obviously that's a little bit larger than that 1% number, but it's roughly in line with what will actually have value down the line.
Speaker B: Yeah. And then as there is more supply, there will be more collections that are valuable, right? It's just how things work, how it's very hard for more collections to retain values. We need more collectors for that and more, you know, more users. It's not bad. This is still a lot, like 1%, 5%. And it's like when you think about it as a collector, maybe your goal is to try to find those that will be in that 1%. And then do— when you look at the piece or at the collection ask yourself, is this going to be 10 years from now in the top 1% of fx hash?
Speaker A: Well, I wish I studied art in college so I could actually have any kind of basis to make that assessment. I think that's one of the challenges we often have on the show is like there's things that appeal to us and there's things that we know influencers say are good. And I think it's not just unique to us. I think a large portion of the community is really at a loss to appraise art in that sense, right? Because anything that's really valuable 10 or 20 or 50 years from now, it's going to probably also be driven by some kind of acceptance of larger art community and they're going to have their own standards that apply to these things, you know, unless, unless it just completely cleaves off and crypto becomes this outsider community that makes its own rules.
Speaker C: Yeah, I know it's interesting to think about it because obviously the artists are a huge amount, like a huge part of our community on FXHash. But outside of that group of artists who are actively artists or designated artists, how many of the people who are pure collectors have an art background outside of NFTs, I wonder? So it's just like being able to make that qualitative analysis. Is that something that we're actually getting without looking towards some of the more established members of the community who also carry that artist tag?
Speaker A: Sometimes the most established artists are the ones that create the most friction, right? I'm not going to name any names, but there are a few generative artists out there who have quite a lot of credentials whose work doesn't always get minted or trade at the level that we see like a Tree of the Week or a Mountain of the Week trade at. And it's like, These people have a lot of pedigree and it's kind of bizarre that the community just goes, you know, you didn't make me a mountain, I'm not going to collect you this week when they are far and away more likely to stand the test of time over 20 or 30 years.
Speaker B: And something you said about having an art degree to be able to kind of critique these sort of projects, I think that's interesting because generative art has been around for— since computers. Were created and you could actually code. But I feel like this is like a new start since they were combined with NFTs. Actually, we need— it's really needed, right, this sort of critics and art historians to actually write or create these storylines and try to explain what has value and what doesn't. But it's a— I think it's a new field. It's out there and we need this. I don't know if they will be collectors or even artists to actually explain and have a thought process on what's considered to be valuable. I'm trying to find, you know, good sources for this because I want to get also more educated in the— not only in the financial aspects, but more into the art topic. And it's interesting because it's not that easy to find these sort of resources. There are many good books out there, not to what's happening now with NFTs and blockchain and Art Blocks and fx hash. So it's a complete, I think, new field, and we need more people to actually think about this and create ways and critique and curate art. I think it's something that naturally will come, right? But I hope it happens fast.
Speaker A: Yeah, well, you know, I know you're, uh, embarking on this adventure in March of writing about an artist a day. Maybe this will— I don't know if you're going to be reaching out to them for interviews or if it's just going to kind of be you sitting with their and writing about them, but maybe you can even start to form some of that opinion, right? And, or come up with a greater thesis around these 30-odd artists that you're going to be writing about. I don't know, I know you've listened to the show, so I do this thing called being the time cop where I'm like, it's getting a little long, we've gone for over an hour. So yeah, please, you know, if you want to talk a little bit about this upcoming project and where people can find you if they aren't already subscribed to your newsletter and stuff, I think this would be a great way for people to get acquainted with your writing.
Speaker B: Sure. Yes, I'm running this challenge. It's 30 NFT artists For 30 days. So I will be writing an article. It won't be very long. I want them to be, you know, short reads that you can, in your day, like in the morning, take a look for 5 minutes and discover new artists. That's a good point. I'm planning to ask them questions. There will be like a mix of interview and mix of me talking a little bit about their art. And I am actually going to be asking these questions, right? Like, what's considered— what do you consider to be good generative art and where could other artists and collectors look for these, right, like resources to get more educated or learn more about this new field. So yeah, I'm definitely looking forward to it and, well, trying to learn, right, trying to showcase some artists that are out there that maybe are not being noticed already and also learning, learning from them, learning from their process, and hopefully, you know, people will Enjoy it. It will be on my newsletter, as you said. So it's caloh.xyz.
Speaker A: And we'll link to that in the show notes along with your Twitter. Yeah, Caloh, thank you so much for coming on. I hope you enjoyed it.
Speaker C: I enjoyed it.
Speaker B: Yeah, it was very, very nice to talk, you know, like have video calls, talk FX hash. It's very podcast, very, very interesting. I'm mostly talking about it on Twitter or on the Discord, right? So it's a different thing and very enjoyable. Thank you for doing it.
Speaker A: Hey, it's just great to have you on, talk the market, something that we all love. Follow Kaloh, check the show notes, and that's it for this one. Thank you everyone, we'll talk to you soon.
Speaker C: All right, thanks, Will.
Change log
—Initial transcript — auto-transcribed (AssemblyAI) and readability-edited.